I do like to grab a take out coffee before work in the morning. Last week whilst in my usual coffee bar, a suited gentleman approached me and asked if I was the person who wrote the newsletters about the Lancaster property market. We ended up having an interesting chat about the local property market,as he was concerned his daughter would never be able to buy her own property, a place in Lancaster she herself can call home.
My latest analysis,using the Land Registry and Office of National Statistics, shows that overall, month on month, Lancaster property values increased by 0.2%. The year on year figures showed the value of residential property in Lancaster has increased by 1.9% in the year to the end February 2016, taking the average value of a property in the area to £186,600.
It gets even more interesting when we look at the last few months’ figures and see the patterns that seem to be emerging.
- January 2016 – no change
- December 2015 – no change
- November 2015 – a drop of 0.1%
We have talked in many recent articles about the lack of properties being built in Lancaster over the last 30 years. This lack of new building has been the biggest factor that has contributed to Lancaster property values still being 83.14% higher than in 1995. At the risk of repeating myself, until the Government addresses this issue, and allows more properties to be built, things will continue to get worse as the UK population grows at just under 500,000 people a year (which is a combination of around 226,000 people because of higher birth rates/people living longer and 259,000 net migration) whilst the country is only building 152,400 properties a year – no wonder demand is outstripping supply.
Another reason intensifying the current level of property values in Lancaster, is the fact that people aren’t moving home as much as they used to, meaning fewer properties are coming onto the market for sale, so in consequence, there is a lack of choice of property to buy, meaning people thinking of moving are discouraged from putting their property on the market … thus perpetuating the problem, as the scarcity of possible properties to buy in order to move also deters people from offering their home for sale. This unevenness between demand from would-be purchasers and the number of properties coming on to the market for sale is causing pressures in Lancaster (and the rest of the UK).
So what of the future of the Lancaster property market and this man’s daughter? I firmly believe the property market in Lancaster and the country as a whole is changing its attitude about home ownership. Back in the 1960’s, 70’s, 80’s and 90’s, getting on the property ladder was everything. Since the late 1990’s, we as a country (in particular, the young) have slowly started to change our attitude to home ownership. We are moving to a more European model, where people choose to rent in their 20’s and 30’s (meaning they can move freely and not be tied to a property), then inherit money in their 50’s when their property owning parents pass away, allowing them to buy property themselves… just like they do in Germany and other sophisticated and mature European counties, meaning his daughter will end up owning property, just later in life than we did. So, whatever the vote on the 23rd of June, if you think about it, we might be more European than we think!
If you want to read more articles on the Lancaster property market, whether you are Lancaster landlord, Lancaster home owner, first time landlord or a first time buyer – then keep checking the Lancaster Property Market Blog… www.lancasterpropertyblog.co.uk